CURRENT CONTEXT : The USA has imposed an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports, affecting almost two-thirds of India’s exports by value to the US.
IMPACT ON INDIA
- Exports: May fall to USD 49.6 billion in 2025-26 from nearly USD 87 billion in 2024-25 (GTRI estimate).
- Most Affected Sectors: Labour-intensive industries like gems & jewellery, textiles, apparel, shrimp, auto components.
- Competitiveness: Indian products to lose edge over exporters from Vietnam, Bangladesh, Mexico.
- Foreign Inflows: Possible decline in FDI and volatility in FPI
WAY FORWARD
- Financial Support: Reinstate Interest Equalisation Scheme for low-cost MSME credit.
- Targeted Credit: Extend special credit lines for shrimp, apparel, jewellery, handicrafts.
- Export Incentives: Enhance RoDTEP and ROSCTL
Policy Support: Simplify regulations, rationalise duties on key raw materials (cotton, leather, gems).